YOUNGSTOWN, Ohio - In Thursday's address to the state, Ohio Governor Mike DeWine said if coronavirus cases can get down to a rate of 50 cases per 100,000 people for two weeks, then health orders would be lifted. 

Many people though, don't know what that exactly means or how to interpret it. Here's a math formula to better understand. 

50 divided by 100,000 equals .0005. Take .0005 and multiply it by the population of the county or state, in this case, 11,689,100 for Ohio's population. That equals 5,844 cases over a 14 day period. Then take 5,844 and divide it by 14 and that equals 417.43. That means to reach Governor DeWine's goal, the state will need to roughly average 417 cases a day over a two-week period. 

To put that into perspective, on Thursday, the state recorded 1,875 cases. It's a rate of 179 cases per 100,000. While that rate is high, it's still a big drop compared to December 3rd of 2020 when the rate was 731 per 100,000 and February 3rd of 2021 when the rate was 445 per 100,000.

Now let's break it down by county. 

Columbiana County currently has the highest rate at 185.5 cases per 100,000. They are averaging 13.5 cases a day. If you use our formula, Columbiana County will need to average four cases a day. 

Mahoning County currently has a rate of 175 cases per 100,000. They are averaging 28 cases a day. If you use our formula, Mahoning County will need to average eight cases a day. 

Trumbull County currently has a rate of 164 cases per 100,000. They are averaging 23 cases a day. If you use our formula, Trumbull County will need to average seven cases a day. 

Right now, Holmes County is the only county in the state that is under Governor DeWine's 50 cases per 100,000. 

Hopefully, that will help you understand the numbers, and where we need to be to get health orders lifted in the state.