A record-setting spring fling is about to come to an end- though not without some spring-like conditions, as well.

On another potentially record-breaking mild day, rain and thunderstorms are likely across the area. Some showers have opened up the day across the area, though much of the details ahead will be filed into one of two scenarios.

These two scenarios rely on the timing and strength of two waves of rain and thunderstorms. We’re generally expecting a first round of rain and thunderstorms to move through in the late morning, with the second wave coming with a cold front early in the evening. If the first wave turns out to underperform, this will give us more instability to fire up strong storms later on. A stronger first wave would allow our area to cool at a greater rate, thus not providing the atmosphere as much instability once the second wave comes through. Most of the severe weather concerns will come in the second wave, as long as it is strong enough to form any storms. For this reason, the U.S. Storm Prediction Center has outlined our communities in a level ? severe thunderstorm risk, similar to Saturday’s chances. Like the last risk, thunderstorms with damaging winds are most likely, though we are expecting more rainfall, with communities likely receiving an inch or so of accumulation. After the second wave comes to an end, a cold front will pass, dropping temperatures by around 30 degrees. It will be a weather whiplash overnight; flurries will be a possibility for some as we wake up on Thursday.

Temperatures will not recover, likely not even reaching average. Snow showers, some lake-enhanced, may be a possibility throughout the day as high temperatures will only get around 40 degrees. While a persistent breeze will ease up in the afternoon, it will still feel much, much chillier than the days past.

A clipper system may pass to our north on Thursday night, leading our area to get a couple of blow-by snow showers overnight into Friday. If this precipitation sticks around into Friday, snow will turn to rain as we’re forecasting high temperatures soaring into the 50s. It will be a breezy day, as well; the wind will pick back up in the morning, and some locations around the valley could have wind gusts up to 50 mph. Temperatures will drop back down into the 30s overnight, with skies becoming partly cloudy.

Dry weather looks to win over the bulk of the day on a seasonable Saturday. Later overnight, however, there is a chance for another system to impact our area. We may get a brief shot of rain or snow before conditions improve for the day on Sunday. Highs will likely be in the 60s, though it will be breezy. While we’ll miss rainfall during the day, the system’s cold front will drag across the Valley at some point overnight, giving us a familiar one-two punch of rain (with the chance for thunderstorms) and dropping thermometers.

As we open up next week, temperatures will resemble the month of February rather than March. Lake-effect snow looks to win over Monday and Tuesday after Sunday’s system passes through our area.